Posts

Showing posts from March, 2018

The Next Prophet and Mormon Whiteness

Image
Before I dive into the topic of my post, there’s a chart that statistically predicts the likelihood of who the next prophet will be among the members of the Quorum of the Twelve. A friend of mine named Tanner Jasperson made this and he’s way smarter than I am when it comes to this sort of thing, so I’ll let him explain it. “The results were obtained from simulations run on the US social security actuarial life tables. Those tables predict the probability of living another year based on age and birth year. 50,000 individual simulations were run, and their results were compared to find probable outcomes. It is possible to analytically predict the most probable outcome, but life rarely behaves according to probability. Allowing random simulations to run provides more insight into a range of possibilities rather than just one single most likely occurrence. The ‘prophet ever’ metric reports the percentage of simulations in which the apostle was prophet for any length of time. The